Conference tourneys are winding down and we’ll see who gets to showcase talent in the finals. Once again I’m removing the Arkansas opponent from the model’s best bet category and going with my heart not the analytics (we all saw how far the numbers got Will Wade-coaching matters too I guess and I’m taking Muss all day everyday but I digress). I wouldn’t blame you for betting A&M with 6.5 points because that team is white hot but I think the Hogs shoot free throws to finish up 8. 

Best Bets for March 12th

• First thing first take UMBC+16 off the bat. Traditional and matchup models like them and 16 is a ton of points in March. And you can chase later when you bet the first game. 
• I’m leaning Tennessee to cover 
• Arizona -1.5 is the best bet of the day juiced to -110 but the model has them winning by 7
• Also leaning Villanova -6.5 (half unit) 
• UAB -3: model has them winning by 7 
• Model likes the overs again so feel free to bet you favorite and hope people make shots all day or parlay all of them together. Go crazy (responsibly). It’s March Madness.