The Week Ahead: Week 6

The Week Ahead: Week 6

Adam Ford

3 Oct, 2023

Sitting at 2-3, Arkansas appears to doomed to a dreadful 2-5 start to the year, which would make bowl eligibility an uphill climb.

We discussed the big mistake that Sam Pittman made over the offseason, why he made it, and why he’ll have a unique opportunity to fix it. Unfortunately, the die is already cast on this season, and he can’t fix it this year. This is a lost season, yet another one for a senior quarterback at Arkansas. For now, the Hogs have to fight and claw their way back into relevance, to give fans (and recruits) hope that this was a learning experience for the Pittman era. Picking off an Ole Miss team coming off an emotional high against LSU would be a pretty good start.

Ole Miss is favored by 11 points, which seems like a lot for this series. Our predictive model has not been high on the Rebels all year, so it’s thinking close game: Ole Miss 27, Arkansas 23. I could see that happening. I could even see Arkansas winning. I could also see Arkansas getting blown out. It’s all up in the air right now.

Other Games to Watch

Alabama at Texas A&M. Jalen Milroe has one career road start (Mississippi State) and also played in Fayetteville last year. Now he goes to Kyle Field, which is going to be incredibly hostile. The Tide lost in College Station back in 2021. Alabama’s offense is shaky, and Texas A&M’s defense is no joke. This is probably the SEC West title game, and the advantage is A&M’s. Spread: Alabama -2.5, Model Pick: Texas A&M 24-18

Kentucky at Georgia. This might be the SEC East title game. Georgia has been impressive and needed a late touchdown to escape Auburn last week. They’re back at home against a tough Kentucky team. Spread: Georgia -14, Model Pick: Georgia 27-22

LSU at Mizzou. LSU is 3-2 and reeling on defense right now, while Mizzou has a shot at a breakthrough season. There’s a good chance this one is a shootout. Spread: LSU -6.5, Model Pick: Mizzou 30-29

Western Michigan at Mississippi State. I’m adding this one only because of the model pick. Mississippi State is truly awful, currently ranked 125th out of 133 teams. They’re favored by almost three touchdowns against WMU, but the model says there’s no way they cover that. Spread: State -20.5, Model Pick: State 26.3-25.6

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