Place Your Bets: March 1st

Place Your Bets: March 1st

Jacob Brady

1 Mar, 2022

With online gambling now legal in Arkansas, we here at Fayette Villains aim to provide you with quality sports betting advice. We’ll use model picks from our proprietary Matchup Model, which has picked every D-I basketball game this year and is 52% against the spread this season. We try to do even better than that by identifying the best value picks and posting them here in a regular column.

If you choose to actually wager, remember smart betting tips: set limits, don’t bet more than you can afford to lose, don’t treat sports betting as an investment strategy, and walk away if it stops being fun.

Best Bets for March 1st

Tonight’s 42 games is a huge slate so there’s a lot to choose from in the final games before conference tournaments. For the SEC our models picking against the spread we are liking the underdogs to cover and the overs to hit tonight.

Our models like Georgia +16 as the home Dawg against Tennessee and +16.5 spread for Ole Miss at Kentucky. I always prefer the home dog play here so the safe bet for us is Georgia +16. Model has the game right at 13 points (80-67). For the risky money I like a parlay with both teams covering at +256 (Via DraftKings for our Hog gamblers in legal states), keeping in mind the model thinks the UK game to be right along the 16/17 point line. Both the Vols and the Wildcats licking their wounds from a fresh beating at Bud Walton and look to win but not blow out opponents. Our model likes both these games to go over as well.

Mizzou at South Carolina if you’re a sadist or a true degen looks to be the Cocks to cover -6.5 and stay under.

Late game for the SEC our model likes Florida in a pickem at Vandy with that matchup going over the 139 mark as well.

Non-SEC matchups with interesting positions

  • Miami (OH) with our model having them almost doubling the spread. Model says this is lock of the night.
  • Model picks to sprinkle suggest a possible half unit wager on Milwaukee ML.
  • IUPUI stating there’s only 5 players available so the spread is currently at -23 our model likes IUPUI to cover but I don’t know if the computer can factor in lack of depth on the bench. I think I’d take Oakland in a possible blowout.