With online gambling now legal in Arkansas, we here at Fayette Villains aim to provide you with quality sports betting advice. We’ll use model picks from our proprietary Matchup Model, which has picked every D-I basketball game this year and is 52% against the spread this season. We try to do even better than that by identifying the best value picks and posting them here in a regular column.

If you choose to actually wager, remember smart betting tips: set limits, don’t bet more than you can afford to lose, don’t treat sports betting as an investment strategy, and walk away if it stops being fun.

Best Bets for March 5th

• Georgia Southern +5.5 — this was the line most different from the traditional models so I think it’s the matchup to target this weekend. 

• Arkansas State +3.5 — A-State is on the road with a chance to win outright so you could sprinkle ML possibly half unit 

• New Mexico +3.5 —The Lobos are home dogs and the model has it at a pick’em. Love this play 

• Arkansas has a tough one on the road and the model has us losing by eight (not covering) I’m once again leaning headfirst into hometown and taking Arkansas +6.5 in what I think will be a dog fight. (Warning: model correctly predicted us not covering last week, but can the computer account for the entire state’s will power?)

• San Diego St/Nevada Over 132.5, model says line should be 138

• Colorado/Utah Over 138, model says it should be 145

• Sacramento State/Montana Under 134.5, should be 126